Tuesday, May 30, 2017

November 2018 Is Still a Long Way Away

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The results of the special House election in Montana last week—where the Republican candidate won by a single-digit margin in a "deep r...
Friday, May 19, 2017

Trump Will Go When the Conservative Media Say It's Time to Go (Probably Never)

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Donald Trump's presidency is barely four months old, but the events of the past week or so have seemed so explosively damaging to his po...
Thursday, May 11, 2017

Why Congressional Republicans Won't Abandon Trump Over Comey

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Donald Trump's decision to fire FBI Director James Comey this week might well be the single most damaging event so far of a presidency t...
Thursday, May 04, 2017

AHCA, Part II: The Pivotal Votes in the House GOP Are on the Right, Not in the Center

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Many veteran politics-watchers have a model in their head that they use to understand both electoral competition and congressional policy-ma...
Friday, April 28, 2017

The Importance of Trump's First Hundred Days

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The historically productive first weeks of Franklin D. Roosevelt's presidency left American politics with a tradition of news media-led ...
Monday, April 24, 2017

Interview about Asymmetric Politics with Salon.com

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I was recently interviewed by Paul Rosenberg of Salon.com about how the view of party differences that Matt and I propose in Asymmetric Poli...
Wednesday, April 12, 2017

The Kansas Election and the Stability of American Electoral Politics

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American politics over the last 25 years or so seems as if it's a roller coaster of sudden and unpredictable plot twists, each more impr...
Monday, April 10, 2017

Will Bannon Stay? Will He Go? It Actually Won't Matter Much

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We have yet to reach the three-month anniversary of Donald Trump's inauguration, yet a death watch has already started in Washington ove...
Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Goodbye, Polarization—Hello, Polarization and Factionalism

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Most people agree that one of the biggest problems—if not the biggest problem—in American politics today is partisan polarization, and most...
Saturday, March 25, 2017

Why Wasn't Obamacare Repealed? The Answer Is the Party, Not the President

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The American Health Care Act, a.k.a. the House Republicans' plan to repeal and replace Obamacare, thudded to earth on Friday afternoon a...
Wednesday, March 22, 2017

What's a President Gotta Do to Be Called a Conservative These Days?

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Donald Trump's conservative credentials have been disputed by all sides from the moment that he emerged as a leading contender for the R...
Tuesday, March 07, 2017

How the New Health Care Bill Confirms the Asymmetry of the Parties

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Matt Grossmann and I write a fair amount about health care in our book Asymmetric Politics  because it's a political issue that represen...
Thursday, March 02, 2017

Rand Paul Is Busy Blowing Up ACA Repeal. Is the White House Even Trying to Stop Him?

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The election of Donald Trump may have been a game-changer in presidential politics, but on Capitol Hill things really don't look all tha...
Tuesday, February 28, 2017

That Grover Norquist Quote Was Wrong Then...and It Just Keeps Getting Wronger

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Back in early 2012, influential conservative interest group leader Grover Norquist delivered a speech before the Conservative Political Acti...